After the 2004, 2008 and 2010 Elections, Rasmussen Reports (Poll) was riding high. In 2008 it was spot on, no poll was more accurate. Barack Obama won 53% to 46%, and Rasmussen’s final poll showed him winning 52% to 46%. In 2010 nearly a year before the election Rasmussen’s House polling indicated Republicans would gain 62 seats, they gained 63. In 2004, pro Democrat Slate said they “publicly doubted and privately derided Rasmussen” polls because of the methodology. However, after the election, they concluded that Rasmussen’s polls were the most accurate.
Scott Rasmussen himself was a regular fixture on TV.
Then about a year ago Rasmussen’s polling went haywire and has been haywire ever since. As the Real Clear Politics average of presidential job approval polls shows, the average of all the recent polls is -13%, very negative for Obama. This is likely the most watched poll average in America. It is -13% average, only if you subtract out Rasmussen and use the most recent 5 polls. Rasmussen has Obama 9% higher than the field at -4%.
In the past the most unreliable poll tended to be CBS, with a huge pro-Democrat and anti-Republican bias. An example of that is the last CBS poll in 1980 they said Carter would beat Reagan, then Reagan beat Carter by one of the biggest landslides ever, a 10% margin. CBS still has a Democrat bias with Obama at only a -10% approval.
There is great motivation for politicians to corrupt polls. Higher polls mean more contributions and many conformists will vote for the candidate they think will win.
When I noticed Rasmussen polls had gone haywire about a year ago ,at first thought it was a fluke, then the extreme pro-Democrat bias persisted. I emailed Real Clear Politics that they should exclude Rasmussen, even though it used to be accurate. Then researched why it had almost instantly shifted about 7-10% in favor of Obama even though all the other polls were trending negative for Obama. The reason was easy to find, in July 2013 Scott Rasmussen left Rasmussen Reports.
The poll results went haywire more or less there after. Today the Rasmussen Report has zero credibility with many that have noticed what has happened. Interestingly it is hard to find a news article written about this. It is citizens posting messages to other citizens asking things like “What the heck happened to Rasmussen polls?”
So in this case it appears AUN-TV is the child in the crowd who blurts out in the classic The Emperor’s New Clothes, “The Emperor is wearing nothing at all.”
From Wikipedia: The Emperor’s New Clothes– A vain Emperor who cares about nothing except wearing and displaying clothes hires two swindlers who promise him the finest, best suit of clothes from a fabric invisible to anyone who is unfit for his position or “hopelessly stupid”. The Emperor’s ministers cannot see the clothing themselves, but pretend that they can for fear of appearing unfit for their positions and the Emperor does the same. Finally the swindlers report that the suit is finished, they mime dressing him and the Emperor marches in procession before his subjects. The townsfolk play along with the pretense, not wanting to appear unfit for their positions or stupid. Then a child in the crowd, too young to understand the desirability of keeping up the pretense, blurts out that the Emperor is wearing nothing at all and the cry is taken up by others. The Emperor cringes, suspecting the assertion is true, but continues the procession.